Bayesian Nonparametric Reliability Analysis Using Dirichlet Process Mixture Model

نویسندگان

  • Nan Cheng
  • NAN CHENG
  • Tao Yuan
چکیده

Cheng, Nan, M.S., August 2011, Industrial and Systems Engineering Bayesian Nonparametric Reliability Analysis Using Dirichlet Process Mixture Model Director of Thesis: Tao Yuan This thesis develops a Bayesian nonparametric method based on Dirichlet Process Mixture Model (DPMM) and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation algorithms to analyze non-repairable reliability lifetime data. Kernel distributions of the model will be implemented with Weibull, Lognormal and Exponential. The influence of prior distribution on the model parameters is studied. Both simulated and experimental data are used to test the proposed models. Our data analysis results indicate that the Dirichlet Process Lognormal Mixture (DPLNM) model is more flexible than the Dirichlet Process Exponential Mixture (DPEM) model and the Dirichlet Process Weibull Mixture (DPWM) model in terms of capturing different shapes of the life time distribution functions. Typically, when handling the practical data generated from devices with embedded nanocrystals, only the DPLNM model can produce a good fit towards the data. Although the lognormal distribution does not have closed form reliability function, censored data can still be easily handled using modern sampling techniques, such as Slice Sampling. Approved: _____________________________________________________________ Tao Yuan Assistant Professor of Industrial and Systmes Engineering

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تاریخ انتشار 2011